Disclaimer


The content on this blog is my personal opinion and does not reflect the views of the Department of Defense or the US Navy in any way.


Thursday, August 23, 2018

Hunting for an Explanation

Apparently there's a campaign underway in some of the more prosperous counties in Maryland to stop expanding the light rail system further out from Baltimore - or even to close existing stations and limit where it operates.

Given that I've basically always relied as much as possible on mass transit and as little as possible on car ownership, I can't think of a single reason that's even remotely sensible to do anything like that. I suppose if the system was operating at a total loss and needed to save money, it might make sense, but even then I'd be spending a lot of time asking whether there are improvements that might help it make more money first.

... And as it turns out, the reason these people have decided to oppose the light rail is because they think it increases crime in their area. Never mind that half of the anecdotes they muster don't show that the criminals they're talking about used the light rail to travel in or out of the region, or that the police department's data doesn't agree that the areas around the light rail have the most drug use and crime. They keep taking videos of the criminals they do find, and clearly we can tell from the number of videos they post that the problem is extensive! (Yes, I'm being sarcastic.)

Apparently none of them ever learned what confirmation bias is, given that they are so clearly falling victim to it in such an obvious way. They would do better to find ways to explain the police data that doesn't agree with their point, rather than point at the limited examples they can find as an excuse to ignore that data.

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